Iran: objectives, stakes, and the risk of chaos 28/02/2026 | Pietro Batacchi

At dawn this morning, the US and Israel initiated hostilities against Iran, launching a war whose duration and outcomes remain uncertain.

What is certain is the objective reaffirmed by both Trump and Netanyahu: ensuring that Iran no longer represents a threat. Neither to the US and Israel, nor to anyone else. Therefore, the nuclear issue is only one part of the package, so to speak. This package encompasses the missile and drone arsenal, related production capabilities, and military and industrial infrastructure more broadly.

Throughout the morning, strikes were also reported against Iranian naval installations (in Minab, Jask, and Bushehr). This is another high-value and extremely profitable objective, as the Naval Forces hold a very important card for the Iranians: the interdiction of the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman through "naval guerrilla" operations that combine the use of "small" missile craft, assault/kamikaze boats, midget submarines, and mines. A nightmare that has troubled the sleep of Pentagon strategists for years.

The fact that the stakes are very high - much higher than those of the so-called 12-Day War - is also evidenced by the Iranian reaction: missiles and drones launched not only against the Jewish State but against all major US military bases in the region, some of which have been hit, as shown in several videos.

In short, what began this morning has all the appearances of a regional war, which, in addition to not being brief, could severely strain Middle Eastern stability. Washington and Tel Aviv want to remove the threat and settle scores with the Ayatollahs once and for all. What happens next and who will follow remains to be seen: it is extremely risky, but it is a risk that Trump has evidently decided to take.


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